Neuberger Berman
April 07, 2017
Delivering compelling investment results for our clients over the long term since 1939.

U.S. Equities: The Case for Conviction in 2017

We are now in year eight of the current U.S. business cycle. Over the course of this cycle, the U.S. economy has been characterized by moderate yet steady improvement. As we look forward, we see many of the same supportive fundamental drivers in place. We have also added potential pro-growth policy initiatives to the list:

 
  • Continued economic expansion
  • Growth in corporate earnings
  • Potential pro-growth initiatives
  • Reasonable valuations
  • Removal of uncertainty
  • Oscillating correlations with areas of opportunity for active managers

An investor should consider Neuberger Berman Multi-Cap Opportunities Fund’s investment objectives, risks and fees and expenses carefully before investing. This and other important information can be found in the Fund’s prospectus and summary prospectus, which you can obtain by calling 877.628.2583. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before making an investment. Investments could result in loss of principal.

Most of the Fund’s performance depends on what happens in the stock market. The market’s behavior is unpredictable, particularly in the short term. There can be no guarantee that the Fund will achieve its goal. Recent events in the U.S. and global economies have resulted, and may continue to result, in an unusually high degree of volatility in the financial markets, both domestic and foreign, and in the net asset values of many mutual funds, including to some extent the Fund. Because the situation is unprecedented and widespread, it may be unusually difficult to identify both risks and opportunities using past models of the interplay of market forces, or to predict the duration of these market events.

The stocks of small- and mid-cap companies are often more volatile and less liquid than the stocks of larger companies and may be more affected than other types of stocks by the underperformance of a sector or during market downturns. Compared to large-cap companies, small and mid-cap companies may have a shorter history of operations, and may have limited product lines, markets or financial resources.

Companies that are considered “special situations” include, among other things: companies that have unrecognized recovery prospects or new management teams; companies involved in restructurings or spin-offs; companies emerging from bankruptcy; initial public offerings that trade below their initial offering prices; and companies with a breakup value above their market price. Special situations carry the risk that certain of such situations may not happen or the market may react differently than expected to such situations, in which case the Fund may experience losses. Certain special situations carry additional risks and the securities of such companies may be more likely to lose value than the securities of more financially stable companies.

To the extent the Fund invests more heavily in particular sectors, its performance will be especially sensitive to developments that significantly affect those sectors. Individual sectors may move up and down more than the broader market. The industries that constitute a sector may all react in the same way to economic, political or regulatory events.

Foreign securities involve risks in addition to those associated with comparable U.S. securities. Additional risks include exposure to less developed or less efficient trading markets; social, political or economic instability; fluctuations in foreign currencies or currency redenomination; potential for default on sovereign debt; nationalization or expropriation of assets; settlement, custodial or other operational risks; and less stringent auditing and legal standards. As a result, foreign securities can fluctuate more widely in price, and may also be less liquid, than comparable U.S. securities.

The S&P 500 Index consists of 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity and industry group representation. It is a market value-weighted index (stock price times number of shares outstanding), with each stock’s weight in the Index proportionate to its market value. The “500” is one of the most widely used benchmarks of U.S. equity performance.

© 2009-2017 Neuberger Berman Group LLC. | All rights reserved

http://hvst.co/2nRamTv 
We are now in year eight of the current U.S. business cycle. Over the course
of this cycle, the U.S. economy has been characterized by moderate yet steady
improvement. As we look forward, we see many of the same supportive
fundamental drivers in place. We have also added potential pro-growth policy
initiatives to the list:
• Continued economic expansion
• Growth in corporate earnings
• Potential pro-growth initiatives
• Reasonable valuations
• Removal of uncertainty
• Oscillating correlations with areas of opportunity for active managers
U.S. EQUITIES: THE CASE
FOR CONVICTION IN
2017
NEUBERGER BERMAN
Multi-Cap Opportunities Fund
FUND FACTS
TICKERS:
Class A:
NMUAX
Class C:
NMUCX
Institutional Class:
NMULX
Continued Economic Expansion
The current U.S. business cycle has been characterized by moderate
yet steady growth, with real GDP growth averaging slightly more
than 2.0% since the second quarter of 2009. We believe the U.S.
economy is in an elongated business cycle and see signs of potential
acceleration. For instance, U.S. real GDP grew 3.5% in the third quarter
of 2016 according to the most recent estimate. This represents the
fastest quarterly growth rate in the last two years. Industrial production
is improving and the U.S. Consumer remains strong, supported by
employment gains, income growth and record household net worth.
Growth in Corporate Earnings
While the economy has been growing, there has been little headline
growth in S&P 500 earnings since 2014. This is largely attributable
to the decline in Energy sector earnings and a stronger U.S. dollar.
Earnings growth should be stronger in 2017. Current estimates
indicate double-digit year-over-year growth. Approximately one-third
of the growth is expected to come from improvement in the Energy
sector. Beyond Energy, earnings growth remains solid and broad-
based across sectors.
Potential Pro-Growth Initiatives
Policy initiatives under the new U.S. administration will likely focus
on infrastructure investment, tax reform, health care and labor
policy reform, and regulatory revision. This provides the potential for
increased economic activity and higher corporate earnings, which we
view as broadly positive for U.S. equities. The potential benefit could
be significant, and we see opportunity in many areas including:
Financial regulation – regulatory pressure may abate for Financials
which has positive implications for earnings and the potential for
increased capital return to shareholders.
Corporate tax reform – reforms will likely increase free cash flow for
U.S. companies with significant domestic operations by lowering the
effective cash tax rate. U.S.-based multinationals may also benefit
through the repatriation of cash related to offshore earnings.
Fiscal policy – policy will likely prioritize infrastructure investment
and defense spending, which we believe has positive implications for
Industrials.
It is important to recognize that changes in policy will present both
opportunity and risk, and therefore must be analyzed on a case-by-
case basis.
Reasonable Valuations
Equity valuations remain reasonable as stock prices are being support
-
ed by higher earnings. As of December 31, 2016, the S&P 500 forward
earnings yield is approximately 6%, which is generally in line with the
20-year average. The spread between the S&P 500 forward earnings
yield and the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 340 basis
points. This represents the “equity risk premium” and is substantially
greater than the 20-year average of 2.3%. This suggests that investors
are being well compensated for owning equities.
CHART 1: S&P 500 INDEX FORWARD EARNINGS YIELD VS. U.S. 10-YEAR
TREASURY YIELD
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
12%
10%
U.S. 10-Y
ear
Treasury Y
ield
S&P 500 F
orw
ard Earnings Y
ield
1/16
1/10
1/12
1/14
1/08
1/06
1/04
1/02
1/00
1/98
1/96
1/94
1/92
Source: Bloomberg. As of December 31, 2016.
Removal of Uncertainty
Over the course of 2016, investor sentiment has benefitted from the
ongoing removal of macro uncertainty. Some noteworthy events includ
-
ed: the “Brexit” vote, which is now past; the Federal Reserve raising
rates in December; OPEC announcing a new production framework;
and the U.S. presidential and congressional elections, which have
been determined. Moving forward, there should be greater clarity with
respect to potential policy initiatives. Greater clarity typically leads to
lower volatility. One observable measure of this is the CBOE Volatility
Index (“VIX”), which declined by nearly 25% in 2016. We believe the
combination of solid fundamentals and improved investor sentiment is
broadly positive for U.S. equities.
Oscillating Correlations with Areas of Opportunity
for Active Managers
Macro volatility has been episodic over the last several years, and has
resulted in oscillating correlations. The removal of uncertainty has
brought along with it a significant decline in correlations. S&P 500
correlations reached an all-time high in September 2011, and have
since fallen by approximately 60%. For U.S. equity investors, this has
resulted in greater performance disparity across market segments.
NEUBERGER BERMAN
MULTI-CAP OPPORTUNITIES FUND
ACTIVE AT
THE CORE
U
.S. EQUITIES:
THE CASE FOR CONVICTION IN
2017
Consider Neuberger Berman Multi-Cap Opportunities Fund
The
Neuberger Berman Multi-Cap Opportunities Fund,
with an active share of approximately
90% since inception, is a high-conviction portfolio of 30
– 40 core holdings, unconstrained by style or
capitalization. Integrating proactive portfolio construction with comprehensive risk management, the
team employs a disciplined, bottom-up process focused on free cash flow and capital structure analysis.
The Fund invests in three distinct categories: Special Situations, Opportunistic and Classic. Each of
these categories has unique attributes and performance drivers, and the relative attractiveness of
each tends to shift over the course of a business cycle. Employing such a flexible approach, allows the
Team to navigate opportunities and volatility, directing the portfolio toward the areas identified as
offering the best opportunities at a particular time.
In 2012, the disparity between the best and worst-performing U.S. equity style was just 4%. In 2016,
this disparity was 25%. Higher interest rates have also led to a shift in sector leadership. Yield-
oriented sectors such as Consumer Staples, Real Estate, Telecommunication Services and Utilities were
four of the top five performing sectors during the first half of 2016. During the second half of 2016,
they were four of the bottom five performing sectors. Lower correlations present both opportunity
and risk for investors. We believe a flexible investment approach focused on company fundamentals
will best reward investors in this environment.
CHART 2: U.S. EQUITY STYLE DISPARITY
U.S. EQUITY STYLE DISPARITY: BEST-PERFORMING MINUS WORST-PERFORMING
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
10.8
10.5
13.1
24.7
3.9
Source: Bloomberg. As of December 31, 2016.
Experienced Stock-
Picking with Unique
Background
Richard Nackenson
manages the
Fund and has 26 years of industry
experience. Richard’s background
in the consulting industry sets him
apart from many analysts and
portfolio managers on Wall Street
and gives him an edge when it
comes to understanding what
really makes a company work.
SPECIAL SITUATIONS
Companies that require tailored,
specific valuation methodologies
and
investment research
Unrecognized recovery prospects
Restructuring
Post-bankruptcy
CLASSIC
Companies with proven management teams
and consistent long-term performance
Consistent free cash flow
High return on invested capital
Financial stability
OPPORTUNISTIC
Companies that have become
inexpensive
for a tangible reason
that we believe is
temporary,
not permanent
High free cash flow yield
Superior free cash flow growth
Improving return on invested capital
RICHARD S. NACKENSON
Strong cash flow
generation at the company
level is providing an
attractive backdrop for
equity investing.
An investor should consider Neuberger Berman Multi-Cap
Opportunities Fund’s investment objectives, risks and fees and
expenses carefully before investing. This and other important
information can be found in the Fund’s prospectus and summary
prospectus, which you can obtain by calling 877.628.2583. Please
read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before
making an investment. Investments could result in loss of principal.
Most of the Fund’s performance depends on what happens in the stock market. The
market’s behavior is unpredictable, particularly in the short term. There can be no
guarantee that the Fund will achieve its goal. Recent events in the U.S. and global
economies have resulted, and may continue to result, in an unusually high degree
of volatility in the financial markets, both domestic and foreign, and in the net asset
values of many mutual funds, including to some extent the Fund. Because the situation
is unprecedented and widespread, it may be unusually difficult to identify both risks
and opportunities using past models of the interplay of market forces, or to predict the
duration of these market events.
The stocks of small- and mid-cap companies are often more volatile and less liquid than
the stocks of larger companies and may be more affected than other types of stocks by
the underperformance of a sector or during market downturns. Compared to large-cap
companies, small and mid-cap companies may have a shorter history of operations,
and may have limited product lines, markets or financial resources. Companies that
are considered “special situations” include, among other things: companies that have
unrecognized recovery prospects or new management teams; companies involved
in restructurings or spin-offs; companies emerging from bankruptcy; initial public
offerings that trade below their initial offering prices; and companies with a breakup
value above their market price. Special situations carry the risk that certain of such
situations may not happen or the market may react differently than expected to such
situations, in which case the Fund may experience losses. Certain special situations
carry additional risks and the securities of such companies may be more likely to lose
value than the securities of more financially stable companies.
To the extent the Fund invests more heavily in particular sectors, its performance will be
especially sensitive to developments that significantly affect those sectors. Individual
sectors may move up and down more than the broader market. The industries that
constitute a sector may all react in the same way to economic, political or regulatory
events.
Foreign securities involve risks in addition to those associated with comparable U.S.
securities. Additional risks include exposure to less developed or less efficient trading
markets; social, political or economic instability; fluctuations in foreign currencies
or currency redenomination; potential for default on sovereign debt; nationalization
or expropriation of assets; settlement, custodial or other operational risks; and less
stringent auditing and legal standards. As a result, foreign securities can fluctuate
more widely in price, and may also be less liquid, than comparable U.S. securities.
The
S&P 500 Index
consists of 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity and industry
group representation. It is a market value-weighted index (stock price times number of
shares outstanding), with each stock’s weight in the Index proportionate to its market
value. The “500” is one of the most widely used benchmarks of U.S. equity performance.
The “Neuberger Berman” name and logo and “Neuberger Berman Investment
Advisers LLC” name are registered service marks of Neuberger Berman Group LLC.
The individual fund names in this piece are either service marks or registered service
marks of Neuberger Berman Investment Advisers LLC, an affiliate of Neuberger Berman
BD LLC, distributor, member FINRA.
N0433 02/17 ©2017 Neuberger Berman BD LLC. All rights reserved.
Neuberger Berman
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New York, NY 1
0104-000
1
www
.nb.com
Talk to Neuberger Berman
Please contact us at 877.628.2583 or visit us at www.nb.com.
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