Sahm Adrangi
January 19, 2017
Chief Investment Officer, Kerrisdale Capital

Straight Path Communications Inc. (STRP): Setting the Story Straight

  

· In the wake of its settlement with the FCC, Straight Path must sell its spectrum -- and fast, lest it face additional penalties, including a potential re-opening of an FCC investigation.

· Kerrisdale believes that Straight Path is grossly overvalued relative to the price it will actually get for its spectrum.

· Verizon is set to buy a similar amount of comparable (yet superior) spectrum for only $200 million, setting a ceiling for Straight Path that is 60% below where the stock currently trades.

· The FCC’s continued expansion of millimeter-wave spectrum supply further weakens Straight Path’s position.

We are short shares of Straight Path Communications
, a disgraced “5G” hype vehicle whose
stock price surged last week for an unusual reason:
the announcement of a harsh regulatory
crackdown. After a pseudonymous short seller in 201
5 accused Straight Path of “fraud,” the
FCC opened its own investigation into whether the c
ompany had violated its legal duty to
actually provide service rather than merely hoard s
pectrum for the sake of speculation. To end
this investigation, Straight Path agreed to pay up
to $100 million over time, surrender many of
its licenses, and sell its entire remaining spectru
m portfolio, with 20% of the sale proceeds going
to the FCC.
The market greeted this news joyously, apparently r
elieved that Straight Path had avoided an
even more draconian penalty and convinced that a sp
ectrum sale would be fast and lucrative.
This optimism is badly misplaced. Straight Path’s s
pectrum is worth far less than the company’s
current half-billion-dollar market cap. Indeed, as
we discuss below, Verizon is set to buy a
similar amount of higher-quality spectrum from a so
phisticated, deep-pocketed seller – Carl
Icahn – for just $200 million, 61% lower than where
Straight Path trades, implying massive
downside for its stock price
even before taking into account the harsh FCC penal
ties.
Adjusting
for these penalties and the lower quality of Straig
ht Path’s spectrum, we believe the true
downside exceeds 70%. The notion that a company tha
t holds less than $10 million in cash,
burns $7 million a year, and must pay out $15 milli
on in fines in the next nine months will drive a
drastically harder bargain than Carl Icahn – in a g
overnment-mandated fire sale – is beyond
absurd. Yet to own Straight Path at this price, tha
t’s what one must believe.
Further weakening Straight Path’s bargaining positi
on is the immense supply of alternative
millimeter-wave spectrum. In a rulemaking concluded
last July, the FCC effectively expanded
the 39GHz band that houses the vast majority of Str
aight Path’s spectrum by 71%; with so
much directly adjacent greenfield spectrum, Straigh
t Path’s holdings are nothing special.
Moreover, a follow-on rulemaking, initiated at the
same time and now in its final phase,
proposes to open up an additional
18 gigahertz
of mmWave spectrum for mobile use, likely
quintupling
the existing inventory and further diluting Straig
ht Path’s value.
As much as management might want to raise capital a
nd hold out for an unrealistic sweetheart
deal, a little-noticed term of the FCC settlement m
akes that a dangerous strategy, allowing the
FCC to re-open its investigation after twelve month
s and potentially revoke Straight Path’s
licenses. Likewise, shareholders confident that Str
aight Path’s former parent company will foot
the bill for its fines fail to appreciate the legal
subtleties that put this outcome in serious doubt.
But who can blame them? At this point, hope is the
only real asset Straight Path has left.
January 2017
Straight Path Communications Inc. (STRP)
Setting the Story Straight
Disclaimer:
As of the publication date of this report, Kerrisda
le Capital Management, LLC and
its affiliates
(collectively, “Kerrisdale”), have short positions
in the stock of Straight Path Communications Inc. (
the
“Company”). Other research contributors, and other
s with whom we have shared our research (collective
ly
with Kerrisdale, the “Authors”) likewise have short
positions in the stock of the Company. The Author
s
stand to realize gains in the event that the price
of the stock decreases. Following publication, the
Authors
may transact in the securities of the Company. The
Authors have obtained all information herein from
sources they believe to be accurate and reliable. H
owever, such information is presented “as is,” with
out
warranty of any kind – whether express or implied –
and without any representation as to the results
obtained from its use. All expressions of opinion
are subject to change without notice, and the Autho
rs do
not undertake to update this report or any informat
ion contained herein. Please read our full legal di
sclaimer
at the end of this report.
Kerrisdale Capital Management, LLC | 1212 Avenue
of the Americas, 3rd Floor | New York, NY 10036
| Tel: 212.792.7999 | Fax: 212.531.6153
2
Table of Contents
I.
STRAIGHT PATH’S SPECTRUM ISN’T WORTH MUCH .........
...................................................
3
II.
SPECTRUM LIKE STRAIGHT PATH’S IS ABUNDANT .........
...................................................
.. 6
III.
REGULATORY RISK STILL LOOMS .......................
...................................................
.................... 8
IV.
INDEMNIFICATION MAY NOT HELP ......................
...................................................
............... 9
V.
CONCLUSION ........................................
...................................................
..................................... 10
FULL LEGAL DISCLAIMER .............................
...................................................
....................................11
Kerrisdale Capital Management, LLC | 1212 Avenue
of the Americas, 3rd Floor | New York, NY 10036
| Tel: 212.792.7999 | Fax: 212.531.6153
3
I. Straight Path’s Spectrum Isn’t Worth Much
What will potential buyers pay for Straight Path’s
portfolio? The most obvious benchmark is the
Verizon/XO Holdings deal
announced
last February. In that set of transactions, Verizo
n
acquired rights to two distinct assets: the fiber-o
ptic network business of XO Communications,
bought for $1.8 billion (with expected synergies an
d tax benefits valued at $1.5 billion); and the
millimeter-wave spectrum held by an XO Holdings sub
sidiary called Nextlink. In lieu of an
outright purchase, Verizon is leasing the spectrum
through 2018, with an option to buy it at
expiration, which observers widely expect Verizon t
o exercise.
Unfortunately, Verizon’s initial press release didn
’t disclose what it would actually have to pay to
acquire the XO spectrum in 2018. However, industry
sources, including the investment bank
UBS, indicate that the strike price is $200 million
. Below we reproduce the relevant section from
a February 22 UBS research note on Verizon:
UBS Disclosure of Verizon Purchase for XO Spectrum
Source: UBS, “Verizon Communications: XO Fiber Netw
ork Purchase All about 5G,”
February 22, 2016, p. 1
Investor’s Business Daily
summarized the same UBS piece and provided the sam
e $200 million
figure; the spectrum expert Tim Farrar has also all
uded to it publicly.
1
Though XO is a private
company (solely owned by Carl Icahn), FCC filings a
llow us calculate how much mmWave
spectrum it holds, which amounts to 189.6 billion M
Hz-pops, the vast majority of which is in the
28GHz LMDS band. Paying $200 million for roughly 20
0 billion MHz-pops implies a price per
MHz-pop – a common spectrum valuation metric – of a
tenth of a penny.
1
See e.g. his tweets from
July 30
(“And VZ $200M option on XO spectrum sets pretty h
ard limit on
39GHz which will be worth less per MHzPOP”) and
September 5
(“And why pay a huge premium for
midband when high frequencies will be incredibly ch
eap (viz $200M option price for XO spectrum)”).
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of the Americas, 3rd Floor | New York, NY 10036
| Tel: 212.792.7999 | Fax: 212.531.6153
4
V
erizon/XO Implied Spectrum Pricing
Source: FCC filings, Kerrisdale analysis
Strikingly, this price closely resembles what Metro
PCS paid Straight Path for a combination of
LMDS and 39GHz spectrum in the New York, San Franci
sco, Las Vegas, and Orlando markets
in 2012 – namely, $0.0010 per MHz-pop
2
– implying that, notwithstanding the dawn of 5G an
d
renewed enthusiasm about mmWave technology, high-fr
equency spectrum prices have barely
moved. Nor is there any indication that XO’s spectr
um sparked a fierce bidding war among
Verizon’s competitors; to the contrary, Icahn’s
public statement
about the deal expresses not
triumph but resignation:
Although this sale to Verizon does not represent a
significant annualized return on our
investment, we believe that in today’s environment
it does represent the best achievable
outcome for the company’s customers, employees and
owner.
How does XO’s spectrum portfolio compare to Straigh
t Path’s? In sheer size (as well as
geographic scope), it’s similar; XO holds 190 billi
on MHz-pops, while Straight Path holds 222
billion. Simply applying the same aggregate price p
er MHz-pop to Straight Path’s portfolio would
value it at $234 million – 54% below the company’s
current market cap
even before factoring in
the FCC penalties.
Clearly the gulf between where Straight Path is tr
ading and where the
Verizon/XO transaction implies it should be is enor
mous.
Refining the analysis further, we exclude from XO’s
total MHz-pops the portion of the LMDS
band that has
not
been authorized for mobile use – everything outsid
e the A1 block that runs
from 27.5 to 28.35 GHz. Valuing non-A1 LMDS spectru
m at zero necessarily implies a higher
price for the remaining, almost entirely A1 spectru
m, which amounts to $0.0016 per MHz-pop.
While this price might serve as a reasonable benchm
ark for Straight Path’s own 28GHz A1
spectrum, it’s too high for its far larger holdings
of 39GHz spectrum, which suffer from inferior
propagation as a result of their higher frequencies
and thus are more costly and difficult to
deploy. To adjust for the difference in frequencies
, we use a
piece of technical analysis
prepared by AT&T Labs’ Advanced Wireless Technology
Group and submitted to the FCC in
2
See Straight Path’s
FY2013 10-K
, p. 12, and FCC filings including transaction-rela
ted public interest
statements (
1
,
2
). MetroPCS paid $6.8 million for what we estimate
to be ~7.1 billion MHz-pops.
XO MHz-pops (mm):
LMDS
185,811
39 GHz
3,804
Total
189,615
XO spectrum purch. price ($mm)
200
$
Value per MHz-pop
0.0011
$
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of the Americas, 3rd Floor | New York, NY 10036
| Tel: 212.792.7999 | Fax: 212.531.6153
5
July 2016, comparing the simulated performance of 2
8 and 39GHz spectrum.
3
AT&T concludes
that “a licensee will need somewhere between 44% -
66% more spectrum in the 39GHz band to
provide the same cell edge data rate with the same
cell radius as compared to 28GHz.” If it
takes 1.44x to 1.66x more 39GHz spectrum than 28GHz
spectrum to accomplish the same
network goals, then 39GHz spectrum must only be 60-
69% as valuable.
4
Bringing all these
figures together below, we find that the gross valu
e of Straight Path’s spectrum is, at best, $260
million.
Str
aight Path Spectrum Portfolio:
Gross Value Using Verizon/XO Pricing
Source: FCC filings, Kerrisdale analysis
Note: 39 GHz is valued at 65% of 28 GHz (the midpoi
nt
of 60 and 69%, as derived from the AT&T analysis
above).
But we have yet to consider the sizable negative im
pact of Straight Path’s civil penalties. Under
the terms of the
consent decree
, Straight Path has three options:
sell all of its spectrum within twelve months, pay
20% of the proceeds to the FCC, and
pay an additional $15 million;
sell all of its spectrum more slowly, pay 20% of t
he proceeds to the FCC, and pay an
additional $100 million; or
renounce its licenses within 12 months and pay $15
million.
Complicating matters further, if Straight Path sell
s non-spectrum assets as part of a spectrum
transaction, it may attribute $50 million in value
to those assets (“the Excluded Amount”),
reducing the size of the 20% cut it owes the FCC.
Assuming Straight Path doesn’t simply renounce its
licenses, we consider the first two scenarios
below, generously giving the company full credit fo
r the Excluded Amount (which wouldn’t apply
in a straightforward spectrum sale). In any market,
motivated sellers fetch lower prices for their
assets, and Straight Path will be no different: any
potential buyers will be well aware of the
pressures facing the company, including the step-up
in penalties associated with a delayed
sale, and they will exploit their position of relat
ive strength. Thus we assign a 20% price
3
Alternatively, a simple rule of thumb suggests tha
t spectrum value decreases as the square of the
frequency (because of free-space path loss), implyi
ng that 39 GHz is (28/39)² = 51% as valuable as 28
GHz, a result similar to what the AT&T analysis ind
icates.
4
1/1.44 = 69%; 1/1.66 = 60%.
MHz-pops
(mm)
$/MHz-
pop
Value
($mm)
28 GHz (A1 only)
46,464
0.0016
$
75
$
39 GHz
175,625
0.0011
$
184
Total
260
$
Kerrisdale Capital Management, LLC | 1212 Avenue
of the Americas, 3rd Floor | New York, NY 10036
| Tel: 212.792.7999 | Fax: 212.531.6153
6
discount in the scenario in which Straight Path sel
ls in the next twelve months. Nonetheless,
based on the XO valuation, it still appears that a
fast sale would be better for Straight Path than
incurring the $85 million penalty and holding out.
In any event, though, Straight Path
shareholders face massive value destruction, with ~
70% downside from current prices.
Straight Path Spectrum Sale:
FCC Penalty Scenarios
Source: Kerrisdale analysis
II. Spectrum Like Straight Path’s Is Abundant
Straight Path’s management likes to depict the comp
any’s spectrum as a unique asset, offering
any carrier a dominant position in the 39GHz band t
hat will supposedly be a crucial part of
mmWave 5G. Whether such technology will ever take o
ff on a large scale remains an open
question; in fact, recent writings by industry expe
rts entitled
The 5G Myth: When Vision
Decoupled from Reality
and “
5G Economics: An Introduction
” signal a broader reassessment of
whether the benefits of 5G have been overhyped in l
ight of its potentially staggering
infrastructure and operating costs. Nevertheless, i
f we just assume more carriers are interested
in acquiring mmWave spectrum for 5G, is Straight Pa
th a particularly attractive option?
No. After being forced to give up 93 of its 39GHz l
icenses as part of the FCC consent decree,
Straight Path’s remaining 39GHz portfolio contains
only 40% of the band’s MHz-pops – leaving
some 838 MHz (on a nationwide population-weighted b
asis) in the hands of others, primarily the
FCC, which will ultimately auction off unused licen
ses. Even more importantly, these figures
consider only the conventional 38.6-40GHz band, wit
h 1.4 GHz of total bandwidth. However, in
its July 2016 report and order, the FCC applied ide
ntical technical and licensing rules to the
adjacent band from 37.6 to 38.6 GHz, supplying anot
her 1,000 MHz of pure greenfield spectrum
that will also be auctioned. Furthermore, the 37-37
.6 GHz band just next door has also been
authorized for mobile use, albeit on a shared basis
with the Federal government, giving carriers
interested in mmWave experimentation yet another lo
w-cost alternative (once the sharing
arrangement is further fleshed out). The diagram be
low summarizes the setup, making it clear
Fast sale Slow sale
Gross spectrum value
260
$
260
$
20% duress discount
(52)
-
Net spectrum value
208
$
260
$
Upfront penalty
(15)
(15)
Additional penalty
-
(85)
FCC share of proceeds
(32)
(42)
Net company value
161
$
118
$
Per share
12.94
$
9.45
$
Downside
(68)%
(77)%
Kerrisdale Capital Management, LLC | 1212 Avenue
of the Americas, 3rd Floor | New York, NY 10036
| Tel: 212.792.7999 | Fax: 212.531.6153
7
that multiple carriers will find it easy to acquire
very large amounts of spectrum just like Straight
Path’s without having to engage with the company at
all. No one is clamoring to scoop up
Straight Path’s particular holdings.
Str
aight Path: 39GHz Holdings in Context
Source: Kerrisdale analysis
Note: Straight Path segment reflects nationwide pop
ulation-weighted average and assumes the company wi
ll
successfully repack its discontiguous channels star
ting from the lower edge of the 38.6-40.0GHz band.
In
reality, individual geographic markets will vary.
Indeed, while Straight Path tries to focus investor
attention on just the 38.6-40GHz band in
which it holds a plurality (though not a majority)
of the MHz-pops, it’s clear that other industry
participants take a broader view. For instance, T-M
obile’s 5G-related
experimental FCC license
covers the entire 37-40GHz band (as well as the 28G
Hz band) – not just Straight Path’s piece.
The same is true for
AT&T
; meanwhile, the fixed-wireless startup
Starry
applied only to use the
lower-frequency greenfield segments. In fact, FCC r
ules now mandate that devices operating
anywhere from 37 to 40GHz must support the
entire
band, including the shared segment,
5
thereby ensuring that “incumbent” spectrum like Str
aight Path’s has no special advantage. With
so much highly similar supply in the pipeline and w
ith major commercial mmWave deployments
still years away, no buyer will be in a hurry to pa
y up for Straight Path.
In the months to come, the supply picture for Strai
ght Path will only get worse. Under the FCC’s
Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking regarding mmW
ave spectrum, the agency has already
proposed to authorize mobile operations in addition
al bands containing some
18 GHz
of
spectrum (~27x what Straight Path holds):
The 24GHz band: 700 MHz
The 32GHz band: 1,600 MHz
The 42GHz band: 500 MHz
The 47GHz band: 3,000 MHz
The 50GHz band: 2,200 MHz
The 70/80GHz bands: 10,000 MHz
5
See Spectrum Frontiers
Report & Order
, paragraph 323.
Completely vacant
(37.6-38.6 GHz)
37 GHz
40 GHz
Shared
(37.0-37.6
GHz)
Straight Path
(~38.6-39.2)
Mostly vacant
(~39.2-40.0 GHz)
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of the Americas, 3rd Floor | New York, NY 10036
| Tel: 212.792.7999 | Fax: 212.531.6153
8
While different bands will have different idiosyncr
asies, the overall direction of policy is clear:
much, much more mmWave will be opened up for mobile
use. In fact, in light of the current
Republican FCC commissioners’ avowed disappointment
6
that even more bands weren’t
opened up even faster, as well as the
Trump transition team
’s
distaste
for the warehousing of
large chunks of spectrum by the Federal government,
this trend toward increased commercial
supply will likely accelerate. Verizon was not mere
ly talking its book when it
said
the following in
October:
It would be impossible for any firm to exclude a co
mpetitor by purchasing “too much” mmW
spectrum because a large amount of mmW spectrum in
the 5G pipeline will be released
continuously for many years. So any competitor that
fails to acquire spectrum necessary for
its operations will have numerous future opportunit
ies to correct its lack of spectrum.
For mmWave spectrum, then, the FCC has ensured that
it’s a buyer’s market, not a seller’s
market, putting Straight Path in a dire position.
III. Regulatory Risk Still Looms
Despite the high cost of Straight Path’s FCC settle
ment, the company’s shareholders have
breathed a sigh of relief, glad that the regulator’
s sword no longer dangles over their heads. But,
while the settlement did resolve the FCC’s previous
investigation, a careful reading of the
underlying consent decree shows that risks still re
main in the event that Straight Path drags out
its spectrum sale. Consider paragraph 17 of the dec
ree:
Enforcement of Part 101 Discontinuance of Service R
ules. The Bureau agrees not to
pursue an investigation of Straight Path for a viol
ation of the discontinuance of service
provisions contained in Sections 101.65 or 101.305
of the Rules regarding the License
Portfolio for the period of time between the Effect
ive Date and earliest of: (i) the closing
date of the last transaction(s) to transfer or assi
gns the License Portfolio as specified in
paragraph 16; (ii) the occurrence of an Event of De
fault as specified in paragraph 19; (iii) or
twelve (12) months from the Effective Date, unless
applications are pending with the
Commission to transfer or assign the entirety of th
e License Portfolio as specified in
paragraph 16.
The “discontinuance of service provisions” are rule
s mandating that any licensee who
permanently discontinues wireless service thereby a
utomatically forfeits its license and must
notify the FCC. Straight Path has strenuously maint
ained that, when it told the FCC it provided
“substantial service” using its spectrum as of the
required buildout deadlines, it was telling the
6
See e.g. Commissioner
Pai
and Commissioner
O’Reilly
’s statements regarding the Spectrum Frontiers
R&O.
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of the Americas, 3rd Floor | New York, NY 10036
| Tel: 212.792.7999 | Fax: 212.531.6153
9
truth – but, given that the company currently gener
ates less than $700,000 of annual revenue
7
from a nationwide spectrum portfolio and had to con
duct its own investigation just to ascertain
what equipment it still had deployed where, it’s cl
ear that, in any plain-English sense of the term,
it doesn’t provide “substantial service” anymore. T
he consent decree lets Straight Path off the
hook, but only for a limited time. If twelve months
elapse and Straight Path still hasn’t sold its
spectrum, the FCC reserves the right to re-initiate
an investigation – and if it finds that Straight
Path has permanently discontinued service with resp
ect to any of its licenses, the company
could simply lose them. This provision thus puts St
raight Path under additional pressure to sell
quickly; while the FCC might not
immediately
go after the company again, the prospect of
catastrophic loss through regulatory action is not
something to trifle with. Straight Path simply
doesn’t have the luxury of taking its time.
IV. Indemnification May Not Help
During Straight Path’s conference call last week, s
ome questioners appeared to be confident
that the company could force its former parent, IDT
Corporation (from which it spun out in
2013), to bear the cost of the FCC settlement, unde
r the theory that the wrongdoing that gave
rise to the settlement took place prior the spinout
. Though this idea sounds plausible, the reality
is far less clear-cut. Under the
separation agreement
between IDT and Straight Path, Straight
Path has sole responsibility for “SPCI [Straight Pa
th Communications Inc.] Liabilities,” which
include
any and all Liabilities of IDT, SPCI, or any of the
ir respective Affiliates, primarily relating to,
arising out of or resulting from the operation or c
onduct of the SPCI Business or any other
business, or the ownership or use of the Assets of
SPCI, as conducted at any time on or
after the Effective Time (including any Liability
relating to, arising out of or resulting from
any act or failure to act by any director, officer,
employee, agent or representative of IDT,
SPCI, or any of their respective Affiliates (whethe
r or not such act or failure to act is or was
within such Person’s authority), in each case arisi
ng before the Effective DateU
While this passage is poorly drafted (and even suff
ers from unbalanced parentheses), it
appears to say that Straight Path bears any liabili
ties flowing from the conduct of its business
after the spinoff date, even when those liabilities
can also be traced back to pre-spinoff actions.
But there’s a good case to be made that Straight Pa
th’s troubles with the FCC have at least as
much to do with its own post-spinoff conduct as wit
h anything that came before. While Sinclair
Upton Research accused Straight Path of simply lyin
g about its network buildout to retain its
licenses, Straight Path itself consistently maintai
ned that it told the truth, as the consent decree
itself notes:
7
See FY2017 Q1
10-Q
showing $159k of quarterly revenue, entirely attri
butable to the Straight Path
Spectrum segment.
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of the Americas, 3rd Floor | New York, NY 10036
| Tel: 212.792.7999 | Fax: 212.531.6153
10
In response to the preliminary investigation of Mor
gan Lewis following the investigation
of a limited number of sites, Straight Path release
d a statement that “a significant
amount of the equipment that had been installed in
connection with the substantial
service showings [was] no longer present at the ori
ginal locations.” As part of the
Morgan Lewis investigation, Straight Path reported
that “[i]nterviews and
contemporaneous documents consistently confirm that
equipment was deployed at the
original locations in connection with the substanti
al service applications, but the
investigators concluded, based on the weight of the
evidence, that the equipment was
likely put in place for a short period of time at e
ach location.” The Morgan Lewis
investigation also determined that “the investigato
rs did not find any evidence that the
equipment used in connection with the substantial s
ervice applications is still present at
the originally specified locations.” U In its Octo
ber 11 LOI Response, Straight Path
argued that the prior substantial service filings m
ade for the 39 GHz licenses held by
Straight Path Spectrum, LLC had satisfied the subst
antial service rules, that the
Commission had accepted the filings, and that the 3
9 GHz licenses are not subject to
the discontinuance rules.
In other words, Straight Path and the law firm it e
ngaged never backed away from the position
that equipment really was installed to satisfy the
buildout requirements; it’s just that it was only
there “for a short period of time.” How short, and
whether that period of time varied from location
to location, has never been made clear. What the FC
C felt it had sufficient evidence to conclude
was not that Straight Path lied at the time of its
“substantial service” showings (pre-spinout) but
that it “had not actually deployed equipment with a
ny permanency.” But did that failure to deploy
“equipment with any permanency” take place before 2
013, after 2013 – or, most likely, both?
Because the FCC’s concerns pertained not just to a
discrete set of statements made in 2011
and 2012 but to an extended period of less-than-sub
stantial service spanning the pre- and post-
spinout periods, the question of who bears primary
responsibility is inherently murky. Straight
Path will argue that the failure was IDT’s, while I
DT will argue that, by Straight Path’s own
admission, the “substantial service” showings were
truthful and it was Straight Path’s own fault
that it did not maintain a level of performance acc
eptable to the FCC in 2013, 2014, 2015, and
2016. Because the underlying legal issues are genui
nely uncertain, it’s naïve to expect IDT to
simply hand over the money without putting up a fig
ht, and it’s perfectly possible that Straight
Path will walk away empty-handed and face the full
brunt of the penalties on its own.
Shareholders betting on a rapid and favorable resol
ution will likely be disappointed.
V. Conclusion
Trading near its peak market cap despite a harsh re
gulatory crackdown and an onslaught of
competing spectrum supply, Straight Path is highly
overvalued. Simply using the Verizon/XO
mmWave spectrum transaction as a benchmark implies
a share-price decline of ~70% – and,
given the weakness of the company’s position, it co
uld easily be worse. The path has always
been more crooked than straight, and now it's comin
g to an end.
Kerrisdale Capital Management, LLC | 1212 Avenue
of the Americas, 3rd Floor | New York, NY 10036
| Tel: 212.792.7999 | Fax: 212.531.6153
11
Full Legal Disclaimer
As of the publication date of this report, Kerrisda
le Capital Management LLC and its affiliates
(collectively "Kerrisdale") have short positions in
the stock of Straight Path Communications Inc.
(“STRP”). In addition, others that contributed res
earch to this report and others that we have
shared our research with (collectively with Kerrisd
ale, the “Authors”) likewise have short
positions in the stock of STRP. The Authors stand t
o realize gains in the event that the price of
the stock decreases. Following publication of the r
eport, the Authors may transact in the
securities of the company covered herein. All conte
nt in this report represent the opinions of
Kerrisdale. The Authors have obtained all informati
on herein from sources they believe to be
accurate and reliable. However, such information is
presented “as is,” without warranty of any
kind – whether express or implied. The Authors make
no representation, express or implied, as
to the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of any
such information or with regard to the
results obtained from its use. All expressions of o
pinion are subject to change without notice,
and the Authors do not undertake to update or suppl
ement this report or any information
contained herein.
This document is for informational purposes only an
d it is not intended as an official
confirmation of any transaction. All market prices,
data and other information are not warranted
as to completeness or accuracy and are subject to c
hange without notice. The information
included in this document is based upon selected pu
blic market data and reflects prevailing
conditions and the Authors’ views as of this date,
all of which are accordingly subject to change.
The Authors’ opinions and estimates constitute a be
st efforts judgment and should be regarded
as indicative, preliminary and for illustrative pur
poses only.
Any investment involves substantial risks, includin
g, but not limited to, pricing volatility,
inadequate liquidity, and the potential complete lo
ss of principal. This report’s estimated
fundamental value only represents a best efforts es
timate of the potential fundamental valuation
of a specific security, and is not expressed as, or
implied as, assessments of the quality of a
security, a summary of past performance, or an acti
onable investment strategy for an investor.
This document does not in any way constitute an off
er or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell
any investment, security, or commodity discussed he
rein or of any of the affiliates of the
Authors. Also, this document does not in any way co
nstitute an offer or solicitation of an offer to
buy or sell any security in any jurisdiction in whi
ch such an offer would be unlawful under the
securities laws of such jurisdiction. To the best o
f the Authors’ abilities and beliefs, all
information contained herein is accurate and reliab
le. The Authors reserve the rights for their
affiliates, officers, and employees to hold cash or
derivative positions in any company discussed
in this document at any time. As of the original pu
blication date of this document, investors
should assume that the Authors are short shares of
STRP and stand to potentially realize gains
in the event that the market valuation of the compa
ny’s common equity is lower than prior to the
original publication date. These affiliates, office
rs, and individuals shall have no obligation to
inform any investor or viewer of this report about
their historical, current, and future trading
activities. In addition, the Authors may benefit fr
om any change in the valuation of any other
Kerrisdale Capital Management, LLC | 1212 Avenue
of the Americas, 3rd Floor | New York, NY 10036
| Tel: 212.792.7999 | Fax: 212.531.6153
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companies, securities, or commodities discussed in
this document. Analysts who prepared this
report are compensated based upon (among other fact
ors) the overall profitability of the
Authors’ operations and their affiliates. The compe
nsation structure for the Authors’ analysts is
generally a derivative of their effectiveness in ge
nerating and communicating new investment
ideas and the performance of recommended strategies
for the Authors. This could represent a
potential conflict of interest in the statements an
d opinions in the Authors’ documents.
The information contained in this document may incl
ude, or incorporate by reference, forward-
looking statements, which would include any stateme
nts that are not statements of historical
fact. Any or all of the Authors’ forward-looking as
sumptions, expectations, projections, intentions
or beliefs about future events may turn out to be w
rong. These forward-looking statements can
be affected by inaccurate assumptions or by known o
r unknown risks, uncertainties and other
factors, most of which are beyond the Authors’ cont
rol. Investors should conduct independent
due diligence, with assistance from professional fi
nancial, legal and tax experts, on all
securities, companies, and commodities discussed in
this document and develop a stand-alone
judgment of the relevant markets prior to making an
y investment decision.
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