July 06, 2016
Mark Shore @ Shore Capital Research LLC
Chief Research Officer, Shore Capital Research LLC; Adjunct Professor, DePaul University, Doctoral Candidate
Seasonality of WTI Crude Oil Futures
Summary
- WTI Crude Oil futures is currently priced around the 30-year average. This makes the market on par with the longer-term average of the front-month futures contract.
- The 30-, 15- and five-year seasonality averages of WTI Crude Oil front-month futures show declines in the second half of the year.
- The seasonality data offers evidence for crude oil to form a long-term bottom.
Earlier this year, crude oil bounced off its multi-year low, and many market participants are now READ MORE
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Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
In writing VSTOXX® Volatility index articles over the past 5 years, I’ve discussed the behavior of the index over time and the behavior during specific moments. 2017 and early 2018 was a moment of historically low volatility and begged the question, ...
Jan 18, 2019
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
Summary The unemployment rate is a mean reverting indicator offering moments of oversold and overbought conditions. The variance between the maximum and minimum rates of a given year, may indicate the stability of the unemployment rate. Understanding ...
May 22, 2017
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
Since 2014 when we published “P2P Lending for Institutional Investors and Wealth Managers: An Overview” about investing in peer-to-peer lending, the industry has continued to grow and evolve, so the timing seemed appropriate to provide an updated ...
Mar 22, 2017
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
Mark Shore has more than 25 years of experience in the futures markets and managed futures, publishes research, consults on alternative investments and conducts educational workshops (see full biography on page 18 of the article). Part 1: Utilizing a ...
Mar 21, 2017
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
Summary Over the past week the VSTOXX / VIX spread narrowed and then widened as the EURO STOXX 50 Index declined. A one and two standard deviation move would price the spread between 8.8 and 12.5. As a sentiment indicator could an overbought VSTOXX / ...
Aug 23, 2016
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
Summary The pricing of the $VIX futures back months have remained relatively stable as the front months recently declined. The longer the spot and front month remain at the lows, the higher the probability for a correction in $SPX. The current state ...
Aug 18, 2016
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
Summary The VSTOXX / VIX spread tends to widen when the volatility indexes rally and equity markets decline. The longer the volatility indexes sit at their lows and the spread sits near its average (low), the greater the probability for the equity ...
Aug 12, 2016
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
Summary Commodities are often quoted in U.S. dollars, making commodities cheaper or more expensive to the rest of the world based on the direction of the dollar. The 12-month and 36-month rolling correlations of $DXY to S&P GSCI note an increasing ...
Jul 20, 2016
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
Mark Shore was invited by RJ OASIS to present this educational webinar in January 2016 on his paper "Decoding the Myths of Managed Futures 2015" To read the full paper click here Follow Mark Shore on Twitter , Facebook and Linkedin Past performance ...
Apr 03, 2016
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
Mark Shore presenting his new paper on CBOE Russell 2000 options-based indexes. This presentation occurred at the Chicago Board of Options Exchange on Feb., 4th 2016. The paper was released in Feb., 2016 Here is the link to watch the video of the ...
Mar 13, 2016
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
My recent research paper "Analyzing Russell 2000 Options-Based Benchmark Indexes Designed to Provide Enhanced Yields and Risk-Adjusted Returns" analyzes the performance of six options-based benchmark indexes through the end of 2015. This is the first ...
Feb 20, 2016
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
My last article discussed the advantages of a traditional portfolio allocating to a volatility index . The article concluded that the allocation to VSTOXX® Futures may offer advantages for a traditional portfolio of 60 percent stocks and 40 percent ...
Feb 10, 2016
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
2014 had its share of commodity headlines. With the year now completed, this is a good opportunity to review the previous year of the commodity markets. There was something for everyone as some commodity markets rallied, but many commodity markets ...
Jun 22, 2015
Mark Shore, Shore Capital Research LLC
Since 2008, I’ve seen more investors increasingly allocating to hedge funds and managed futures. As my background is research, this article discusses the research side of the due diligence process. Over the years I’ve found investors perform varying ...
Jun 17, 2015
5-YEAR EXPECTED RETURNS
We’re in both an age of enlightenment and an age of turmoil. The progression embodied in artificial intelligence is being met with the regression of incoherent and threatening policies from the US. That’s why we’ve called this year’s edition of Expected Returns ‘The Stale Renaissance’ to reflect this paradox.The Stale Renaissance
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