Peter Epstein, MBA
June 05, 2019
Peter Epstein, MBA @ Epstein Research
MBA, Financial Analysis, Top 15 rated: New York University (NYU) Stern School of Business

Drone Delivery Canada Signs Exclusive Agreement With Air Canada

Drone Delivery Canada Corp . ( TSXV: FLT, OTC: TAKOF ) announced   blockbuster news , it has entered into an agreement with  Air Canada , whereby  Air Canada Cargo  (“ ACC ”) will market & sell  DDC’s  drone delivery services in Canada using  ACC’s  marketing & sales platforms. THIS IS HUGE. The biggest news in the Company’s 5-yr.+ history. Securing Air Canada, a  C$10.5B  market cap company and industry leader, as an  EXCLUSIVE  partner ( exclusive for Air Canada,  DDC  can work outside of the agreement ) is a tremendous achievement and a win-win for both companies. 

Talk about De-Risking, talk about a Vote of Confidence, Proof-of-Concept, ramping up revenue, expanding the universe of prospective customers; it’s all here in this one Major agreement. This is perhaps North America’s biggest drone sector news of the year. Please note, I’ve followed  DDC  for nearly 2 years, I don’t believe I’m exaggerating in my description of this latest development.  IT’S HUGE . Congratulations to the team for all the hard work.

From the  press release ,  

“…. subject to  DDC  obtaining regulatory approvals,  DDC  will build & operate up to 150,000 drone delivery routes in Canada. Routes will include timetables, flight schedules, payload capacities, type of drones to be deployed, and payment terms.  DDC’s  services will be marketed as a premium offering, and  ACC  has agreed not to use or engage with any other drone delivery service providers.  ACC  has agreed to sell, market & promote  DDC’s  drone delivery services on the agreed routes, leveraging  ACC’s  expertise in the cargo world, brand presence and sales network.“

Why am I so excited? This opens doors, lots of doors, not just in Canada, but around the World. If Air Canada has effectively signed off, that means Canadian regulators have largely agreed, they have agreed to let Air Canada help commercialize  DDC’s  business model! This accomplishes a lot of important things. It lights a fire under other country’s air transportation / drone delivery regulatory bodies to perhaps move faster.  DDC  becomes a case study in how to design, develop & deploy a software platform for drone delivery services. I can’t stress enough how scalable this service is, or how many countries could adopt  DDC’s  paradigm in coming years.  DDC , with this tremendous stamp of approval, can save companies & government agencies several years and millions of dollars, in getting to market with drone delivery services. 

Again from the  press release CEO Tony Di Benedetto  commented, 

This agreement greatly accelerates our commercial roll out in Canada, our drone delivery services will be extensively marketed as we work to establish operations across Canada leveraging  ACC’s  brand presence and their established sales network and marketing reach.  DDC  will benefit from  ACC’s  expertise and ability to promote and sell  DDC  services through  ACC’s  industry leading marketing & sales technology channels, which will support our efforts to establish  DDC  as Canada’s first national drone cargo solution. Next,  DDC  hopes to pursue even larger markets in the U.S. & Europe.

Although revenue will not pour in this week or next month, this greatly enhances revenue projections from 2020 on. If the high end of the revenue range was, say,  C$20M  in 2020, and there was thought to be a 20% chance of achieving that figure, now, I would put  C$20M  as the mid-point of the range, and say there’s an 80% chance of hitting it! But forget about 2020. Revenue estimates for 2021, 2022, 2023… can be thrown out the drone window ( if drones had windows ). Why? The likelihood of long-term, high-margin licensing revenue from abroad just soared overnight. 

And, the size & number of revenue streams could be significantly larger.  DDC’s  first mover advantage just became even more important because it can now be a first mover sooner, in more jurisdictions, than previously expected. Is this a game-changer for  DDC?  YES. Some might believe that a deal with Air Canada was inevitable. Even if true, it could have happened in 12 or 18 months. So, yeah, this is  HUGE NEWS .  

Now we know why the Company prudently raised capital earlier this year. They have a strong treasury to fund working capital & growth initiatives. For instance, they will need to buy more phones to field all the calls that will be coming in! 

From the press release,

“The initial term of the Agreement is 10 years from the effective date of May 29, 2019. The routes to which the Agreement applies shall be agreed by the parties and shall be subject to  DDC  obtaining required regulatory approvals. Once routes are approved by the applicable regulatory authorities, the particular terms of the routes, including payment terms to  DDC , will be determined in the context of each applicable route and disclosed in subsequent press releases.”

A 10-yr. Agreement from the start. WOW. But wait, there’s more… I haven’t even mentioned the  ACC  sales force selling  DDC’s  drone delivery services. Again, a stamp of approval, but also a highly experienced marketing effort to be undertaken. DDC’s  own sales staff can learn a lot from  ACC’s  expertise. Readers, let’s not take for granted that Air Canada chose  DDC  as their sole drone logistics provider. It could have developed drone delivery capabilities in-house and bypassed  DDC  altogether. 

Tim Strauss, VP, Cargo at Air Canada   commented

Air Canada is pleased to partner with  Drone Delivery Canada , a leading player in today’s emerging drone industry. We believe drone technology has the potential to offer the cargo community cost-effective solutions to complex issues related to supply chain distribution in non-traditional markets, including remote communities in Canada. It is another way  Air Canada Cargo  is innovating and engaging with new technologies…

This sends a strong signal to airlines & freight logistics companies that drones are now in play and teaming with a company like  DDC  is the way to go. Will  UPS  or  Fed-Ex  be in trouble if they don’t utilize drones next year or the year after? No. But giant companies have teams in place that make important, strategic planning decisions for decades into the future. I imagine a lot of prospective customers are reading today’s press release. 

Everyone is looking at drone delivery services. Today’s news suggests that companies with fledgling programs will skip the years ahead of hard work, which may lead nowhere, and simply call  Tony D. at DDC . Is there really the urgency that I tease about in this article? Well, yes and no.  DDC  has proved it can be done, but it took them 5-6 years, more like 6-7 years until meaningful commercial revenue. 

The drone delivery model, the business proposition to end-users, is getting stronger by the month.  DDC  benefits from this as well, as they outsource drone building. Simply put, drones are getting faster, lighter, quieter & more powerful, with no end in sight. That means longer-range, larger & heavier payloads, and lower costs per km. At the same time, the costs of these ever improving drones are coming down because it’s a highly competitive market. Finally, drones are green! Over time they will replace trucks & reduce traffic jams, ( which are highly polluting ). Once most drones are running on Li-ion batteries, they will be even greener. 

Drone Delivery Canada   (TSX-V: FLT) / (OTCQX: TAKOF)  is truly in the driver’s seat. They could provide consulting services to interested parties in domestic & foreign jurisdictions about how to get to the stage that  DDC  is at now. There are many steps, lots of hand holding, lots of paperwork, lots of education and lots of waiting for people & various institutions to move. That’s all behind  DDC  now. The sky’s the limit. Congratulations once again. 

Disclosures : The content of this article is for information only. Readers fully understand and agree that nothing contained herein, written by Peter Epstein of  Epstein Research   [ER] ( together,  [ER])  about  Drone Delivery Canada , including but not limited to, commentary, opinions, views, assumptions, reported facts, calculations, etc. is to be considered implicit or explicit investment advice. Nothing contained herein is a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any security.  [ER]  is not responsible under any circumstances for investment actions taken by the reader.  [ER]  has never been, and is not currently, a registered or licensed financial advisor or broker/dealer, investment advisor, stockbroker, trader, money manager, compliance or legal officer, and does not perform market making activities.  [ER]  is not directly employed by any company, group, organization, party or person. The shares of  Drone Delivery Canada  are highly speculative, not suitable for all investors. Readers understand and agree that investments in small cap stocks can result in a 100% loss of invested funds. It is assumed and agreed upon by readers that they will consult with their own licensed or registered financial advisors before making any investment decisions.

At the time this article was posted, Peter Epstein owned shares in Drone Delivery Canada and the Company is a former, (but not current), advertiser on  [ER] .

Readers understand and agree that they must conduct their own due diligence above and beyond reading this article. While the author believes he’s diligent in screening out companies that, for any reasons whatsoever, are unattractive investment opportunities, he cannot guarantee that his efforts will (or have been) successful.  [ER]  is not responsible for any perceived, or actual, errors including, but not limited to, commentary, opinions, views, assumptions, reported facts & financial calculations, or for the completeness of this article or future content.  [ER]  is not expected or required to subsequently follow or cover events & news, or write about any particular company or topic.  [ER]  is not an expert in any company, industry sector or investment topic. 

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