BREXIT What? How Will It Affect Our Markets?
Second Quarter 2016
Harry Clark, CFP®, Chief Executive Officer, Editor in Chief
After more than four decades of membership, U.K. citizens voted to leave the European Union (EU) by a vote of 52% “to go” vs 48% “to stay.” It was a stunning upset for Prime Minister David Cameron, who wanted to stay, and a major shock to global markets. This could lead to further referendums in the U.K. as Scotland voted 62% to remain in the union along with Northern Ireland.
One of the most actively Googled terms in U.K. history occurred the day after the referendum. The question was “What is the EU?” In other words, what did people of the U.K. vote to leave?
The advance/decline line has just made another new high on June 30th. This is a very good omen as the major indices usually will follow to a new high.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. Not every client’s account will have these exact characteristics. The actual characteristics with respect to any particular client account will vary based on a number of factors including but not limited to: (i) the size of the account; (ii) investment restrictions applicable to the account, if any; and (iii) market exigencies at the time of investment.
The S&P 500 measures the performance of the 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy, capturing 75% of U.S. equities.
The Russell 2000® Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index.
The S&P Small Cap 600® measures the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity market being designed to track companies that meet criteria showing that they are liquid and financially viable.
The Value Line Arithmetic Composite Index uses the arithmetic mean change in the index reflects change if a portfolio of stocks in equal amounts were held.
The Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index covers the U.S. investment-grade fixed-rate bond market, including government and credit securities, agency mortgage pass-through securities, asset-backed securities and commercial mortgage-based securities. To qualify for inclusion, a bond or security must have at least one year to final maturity and be rated investment grade Baa3 or better, dollar denominated, non-convertible, fixed rate and publicly issued. non-convertible, fixed rate and publicly issued.
The Barclays U.S. Corporate High-Yield Bond Index covers the USD-denominated, non-investment grade, fixed-rate, taxable corporate bond market.
Barclays U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index measures the performance of U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of at least seven years and less than 10 years.
The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a free float adjusted market capitalization index that is designed tomeasure equity market performance in the global emerging markets.
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