Legg Mason Global Asset Management
January 16, 2019
A leading global investment company with specialized expertise in equities, fixed income, and alternatives.

A Global Phenomenon Under The Radar

DEC 20 2018

Online gaming could once have been dismissed as a niche market for investors, but the explosive trend is now impossible to ignore. Much of the growth is coming from Asia.

Recent gaming hits such as  Pokémon Go  and  Fortnite  have pulled in massive global audiences – the latter ballooning to 125 million players in less than a year.
 
Emerging markets are at the forefront of this boom. Asia dominates several markets, including what is termed as ‘massively multiplayer online games’ or MMOs for short. These games, with hit titles such as  Honor of Kings  and  League of Legends , allow large numbers of people all over the world to interact in a game housed on a single server.

In China, the world’s leading gaming market, which saw US$32.5 billion in revenue in 20171, gaming accounts for an incredible 15% of leisure time.2

The driver for this boom has been the smartphone. Lower-cost mobile devices and more sophisticated hardware has enabled audiences to access better graphics and higher-quality gameplay, without the need to invest in pricey consoles or PCs. 

 

The boom in online gaming demonstrates how quickly emerging markets are taking centre-stage in so many tech-driven, ‘new-economy’ industries.

Mobile-gaming app revenue is expected to reach US$74.6 billion by 2020, doubling from that of 20153. By then, an estimated 40% of global online gaming market revenue will come from smartphones4.

Growth is being propelled by the Chinese model of ‘freemium’ content where the game is free to download, but comes with in-app purchases. In Asia alone, free-to-play MMO games generated an estimated US$11.2 billion of revenue in 2016 compared with US$1.4 billion for pay-to-play games.5

Greater technological advances are also just around the corner. Semiconductor companies are now looking at the next generation of hardware, capable of supporting gaming-specific smartphones. The next step in hardware is the development of augmented or virtual reality, with a focus on accessibility from handsets and mobile devices not just PCs and consoles.

Crucially, gaming is no longer just about the players, it is a spectator sport. Platforms such as YouTube, Amazon’s Twitch and, in China, the Tencent-owned Douyu, have raised the profile of eSports (competitive professional gaming) to never-before seen levels. The 2017  League of Legends  championship finals, hosted at Beijing’s Birds Nest stadium, was watched by a staggering 57.6 million people worldwide6.

In 2018, viewing numbers for gaming video content is expected to top 700 million – that’s more than five times Netflix’s worldwide subscribers.7 And the audience is poised to grow even further, eSports will be a feature of the Asian Games this year and serious discussions are also underway for a demonstration event at the Paris Olympics in 2024.

Sponsorship of eSports is still in its infancy but could mushroom in the same way that we have seen in other global sports.

Gaming revenue has risen steadily in the last few years, up 18.1% in the 2017 financial year.8 The boom in online gaming demonstrates how quickly emerging markets are taking centre-stage in so many tech-driven, ‘new-economy’ industries.

1Statista, Newzoo. 2Statista, Nielsen. 3Statista, App Annie, Venture Beat. 4Statista, Newzoo. 5Statista, SuperData Research, gamesindustry.biz. 6Statista, Riot Games, Rift Herald. 7Statista, SuperData Research, Netflix. 8 Statista, Newzoo.

Author: 
Kim Catechis
Head of Global Emerging Markets
IMPORTANT INFORMATION: All investments involve risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Unmanaged index returns do not reflect any fees, expenses or sales charges.
Equity securities  are subject to price fluctuation and possible loss of principal.  Fixed-income securities  involve interest rate, credit, inflation and reinvestment risks; and possible loss of principal. As interest rates rise, the value of fixed income securities falls.  International investments  are subject to special risks including currency fluctuations, social, economic and political uncertainties, which could increase volatility. These risks are magnified in  emerging markets .
The opinions and views expressed herein are not intended to be relied upon as a prediction or forecast of actual future events or performance, guarantee of future results, recommendations or advice.  Statements made in this material are not intended as buy or sell recommendations of any securities. Forward-looking statements are subject to uncertainties that could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from the expectations expressed. This information has been prepared from sources believed reliable but the accuracy and completeness of the information cannot be guaranteed. Information and opinions expressed by either Legg Mason or its affiliates are current as at the date indicated, are subject to change without notice, and do not  take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs of individual investors.
Investments in small-cap and mid-cap companies involve a higher degree of risk and volatility than investments in larger, more established companies.
Forecasts are inherently limited and should not be relied upon as indicators of actual or future performance.
More from Legg Mason Global Asset Management